Aretia Climate
Climate Intelligence

EU CBAM Exposure Calculator

Know your CBAM liability before your first filing.

Six sectors, four ETS price scenarios, 2026–2030 projection. IFRS S2 transition risk disclosure output included.

CBAM Liability Assessment · FY2026 · Steel & Aluminium

Liability Summary

Total liability$284,000 / yr
Break-even carbon price$48 / tCO₂e
Next filingQ1 2026

Sector Breakdown

Steel2,840 tCO₂e · $156,200
Aluminium1,230 tCO₂e · $67,650
Cement1,100 tCO₂e · $60,500
01
Product Input

Sector, volume, and embedded emissions.

CBAM applies to six sectors: cement, iron and steel, aluminium, fertilisers, electricity, and hydrogen. For each product exported to the EU, enter the annual tonnage, the production country, and embedded GHG emissions per tonne. Aretia provides default embedded emission factors by production method and country where direct measurement is not yet available — and flags where 2026 verified data requirements will apply.

All 6 CBAM sectors: cement, steel, aluminium, fertilisers, electricity, hydrogen
Embedded emissions per tonne by production method
Default emission factors with 2026 verified data flag
Multi-product, multi-country portfolio in one assessment
CBAM Product Input — Steel Products

Product | HS Code | Volume/yr | Country | Embedded tCO₂e/t | Total tCO₂e

Hot-rolled coil
HS 7208 · 1,200 t · Ukraine · 1.92 tCO₂e/t
2,304 t
Cold-rolled steel
HS 7209 · 800 t · India · 2.14 tCO₂e/t
1,712 t
Wire rod
HS 7213 · 400 t · Turkey · 1.96 tCO₂e/t
784 t
Total2,400 t · 4,800 tCO₂e
02
Liability Calculation

CBAM cost by year. EU ETS price scenarios.

Aretia calculates your annual CBAM liability from 2026 to 2030 using EU ETS price projections under four scenarios — a central baseline and three stress cases. The liability equals embedded emissions multiplied by the average EU ETS price for the year, less any carbon price already paid in the country of production. The break-even carbon price — the level at which CBAM becomes commercially material — is calculated per product.

Annual CBAM liability 2026–2030 per EU ETS scenario
Country of origin carbon price credit applied
Break-even carbon price per product and sector
IFRS S2 carbon-related financial risk disclosure output
CBAM Liability Projection — 2026–2030

Year | ETS Price | Embedded tCO₂e | Country Credit | Net Liability

2026$804,800$12,400$272,600
2027$884,800$12,400$299,600
2028$985,200$13,800$335,800
2029$1125,200$13,800$377,200
2030$1305,600$15,000$433,000
5-year total$1.72M
03
IFRS S2 Output

Carbon liability as a financial disclosure.

CBAM is not just a trade cost — under IFRS S2, it is a material transition risk that must be disclosed. Aretia produces a ready-to-use IFRS S2 transition risk disclosure entry covering: the nature of the risk, quantified financial impact by scenario, the company's response strategy, and progress metrics. The CBAM liability figures feed directly into the carbon pricing sensitivity module for EBITDA stress-test integration.

IFRS S2 transition risk entry — CBAM section
Quantified financial impact by ETS price scenario
Response strategy documentation template
Feeds into Carbon Sensitivity module for EBITDA stress-test
IFRS S2 — Transition Risk: CBAM

Disclosure Entry

Risk categoryPolicy & Legal
Risk description
EU Carbon Border Adjustment Mechanism (CBAM) applies to steel and aluminium exports to the EU from 2026...
Financial impact (central)$272,600 / yr (2026)
Financial impact (high ETS)$433,000 / yr (2030)
Response
Exploring near-shoring and low-carbon supplier switching for EU-bound volumes
Progress metricBreak-even ETS price: $48 / tCO₂e
Disclosure statusReady for IFRS S2 disclosure
Verification-Ready Audit Trail

Every action in CBAM Calculator is permanently logged.

Immutable record of every data entry, calculation run, approval, and document upload — structured for ISO 14064-3 verification, SBTi validation, IFRS S2 assurance, and DFI/LP reporting. No editing or deletion, ever.

ISO 14064-3SBTiIFRS S2IFC PSISO 50001EU Taxonomy

Know your CBAM liability before your first filing.

Six sectors, four ETS price scenarios, 2026–2030 projection. IFRS S2 transition risk disclosure output included.