Physical Risk
GIS-based asset-level hazard mapping · IPCC AR6 · Revenue at risk
Assets Mapped
3
Nigeria, Accra, Nairobi
Revenue at Risk
$31.7M
SSP2-4.5 · 2035 horizon
7.0% of $450.0M revenue
Highest Hazard
Nigeria
Flood + Heat · High/High
Scenario
SSP2
IPCC AR6 · +2.5°C by 2100
Nigeria Plant — Nigeria
Hazard Profile
Financial Exposure (2035, SSP2)
Revenue at Risk
$18.4M
EBITDA Impact
$-12.1M
Accra Facility — Ghana
Hazard Profile
Financial Exposure (2035, SSP2)
Revenue at Risk
$9.2M
EBITDA Impact
$-6.3M
Nairobi Depot — Kenya
Hazard Profile
Financial Exposure (2035, SSP2)
Revenue at Risk
$4.1M
EBITDA Impact
$-2.8M
Four scenario horizons in the full platform
Full platform runs SSP1-2.6, SSP2-4.5, SSP3-7.0, SSP5-8.5 across 2025, 2035, and 2050 time horizons. Outputs include stranded asset timelines, insurance premium uplift, and asset valuation haircut.
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